Aquaman has been positioned as the official fantasy adventure movie of the season, is the closest thing to Star Wars, Avatar or Middle Earth adventure (it even briefly turns into National Treasure in its second act). With $556 million worldwide as of Tuesday, 24th December 2018 it is all but certain that Aquaman will top $600m worldwide.
The DC Films flick earned another $16.9m in North America on Wednesday, which is a mere 23% drop from its $22m Christmas Day gross. The James Wan-directed adventure has earned $122.615m domestic in six days and should close out its first week with around $137m.
Thus far, despite opening with $72.7 million in North America (counting the $4.7m in pre-release sneak previews), Aquaman has taken day-to-day drops frighteningly close to Jack Reacher (which fell 27% on day six) and National Treasure: Book of Secrets (which fell 9% on day six).
As at today, Aquaman has a 1.68x weekend-to-domestic multiplier compared to 1.73x for National Treasure 2 ($77.9m in six days after a $44.7m debut weekend in 2007) and a 1.77x multiplier for Jack Reacher ($26.9m after a $15.2m debut in 2012). And with around $590 million global as of yesterday, it should be past $600m worldwide by the end of this sentence.
By tonight or early tomorrow, it’ll pass Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald ($611m on a $200m budget) to become Warner Bros.’ biggest global grosser of 2018. At this point, it is almost certain to go the distance to challenge the likes of Wonder Woman ($821m), Venom ($860m) or Batman v Superman ($873m) is an open question.
Aquaman should be over $470 million overseas by today. That will put it past The Dark Knight ($469.7m in 2008, sans China and in 2-D) and behind only Batman v Superman ($543m in 2016) and The Dark Knight Rises ($636.8m in 2012 in 2-D) among all DC Comics adaptations. Whether or not it matches/tops the $1.004 billion gross of The Dark Knight or the $1.085b gross of The Dark Knight Rises, it’s probably going to end up as the biggest overseas grosser ever in DC Comics history.
If it tops $650m overseas (which it probably will), it’ll pass Black Panther ($646m) to be the biggest DC or Marvel superhero flick in foreign grosses behind Captain America: Civil War ($745m), Iron Man 3 ($806m), Avengers ($896m), Avengers: Age of Ultron ($946m) and Avengers: Infinity War ($1.37b).