According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Nigeria's economy is expected to grow at a rate of 4.1% in 2026, making it one of the more resilient economies in the world. The forecast was included in the IMF's 2026 World Economic Outlook, "Global Economy in the Shadow of War," which was presented on Tuesday during the ongoing IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington, D.C.
According to the report, Nigeria's GDP is expected to expand from 4.0% in 2025 to 4.1% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
According to the IMF's 2026 growth projection, Nigeria is ahead of several advanced and emerging nations.
Additionally, the research predicts that global headline inflation will rise slightly in 2026 and that global economic growth will be slow to 3.1% in 2026 before slightly increasing to 3.2% in 2027.
According to the IMF, the Middle East crisis is mostly to blame for the slowdown in global GDP, which coincided with increased trade barriers and uncertainty in 2025.
"Global activity now faces a significant test due to the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East, after enduring increased trade restrictions and increased uncertainty last year.
"Global growth is projected to slow to 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027, assuming that the conflict remains limited in duration and scope," the IMF said.